Sweden 3-1 Poland

Five things to know

1. Poland out-shot Sweden 18-12 but lost the xG 1.19-2.11xG per shot: Poland 0.066, Sweden 0.176 (2.7x)
2. Sweden scored 2 from 3 set-piece shots0.62 xG from set pieces
3. Chances worth 0.30+ xG: Poland 0, Sweden 2Best Poland chance: Sebastian Szymański 43' (0.28 xG)
4. 50% of Poland's shots came from outside the box9 of 18 for 0.29 xG; Sweden: 3 of 12
5. High turnovers: Poland 5, Sweden 32 of Poland's led to a shot within 20 s

Shots and chance quality

Best Poland chance: Sebastian Szymański, 43', 0.28 xG (goal).

How to read this chart

• Top bars: each pair adds up to 100%, so the longer bar shows who led that stat.
• Shot map: one circle per shot. Bigger circle = better chance (higher xG). Filled = goal.
• Cumulative xG: the line steps up with every shot by that shot's xG. The team whose line ends higher created the better chances overall.

How Poland progressed

• Mostly down the left: left 47%, centre 37%, right 16% of progressive passes and carries.
• 63 final-third entries (Sweden 48).
• 18 of 33 attempts to enter the box completed.
• Most progressive passes: Jakub Kiwior (11); carries: Nicola Zalewski (5).
• Most-used connection: Jan Bednarek - Jakub Kiwior (43 passes).

How to read this chart

• Passing network: each circle is a player at their average position, with their shirt number. Bigger circle = more passes; thicker line = more passes between those two players.
• Progressive passes and carries: moves that took the ball at least 9 m closer to goal. Red = completed, grey = failed, dashed = running with the ball.
• Final-third entries: how often the ball reached the last third down each side.
• Box entries: completed passes (solid) and runs (dashed) that ended inside the penalty area.

Who created threat

• Nicola Zalewski 0.23 xT (0.31 passing, -0.08 carrying)
• Jakub Kiwior 0.21 xT (0.21 passing, 0.00 carrying)
• Matty Cash 0.17 xT (0.17 passing, 0.01 carrying)
• Team: Poland 1.16 vs Sweden 1.19.
• High turnovers: Poland 5 (2 led to a shot), Sweden 3.

How to read this chart

• xT (expected threat) measures how much a pass or run raised the chance of scoring in the next few moves. Moving the ball from midfield to the edge of the box adds a lot; a sideways pass adds little.
• Pitch: darker zones are where the most threat was created from. Arrows are the single best moves.
• Bars: threat added per player, split into passes (solid) and runs with the ball (hatched). A negative bar means the player often moved the ball somewhere less dangerous.
• Momentum: threat per 15 minutes. Poland above the line, the opponent below.